The signs Putin could use his vast nuclear arsenal
My latest for @theipaper. Of course, the key point is that so far these warning signs are NOT showing
inews.co.uk/news/world/signs…— @MarkGaleotti Jul 1, 2026
Author: wawiimuy
EXCLUSIVE: Russia approved secret China military training at top level, sources say reut.rs/4wo4pj2 reut.rs/4wo4pj2
— @Reuters Jul 1, 2026
EXCLUSIVE: Ukraine believes it has wrested back the initiative on the battlefield by striking Russian troops, logistics hubs and oil infrastructure.
Now it is racing to secure billions more in Western military aid before Moscow adapts.
politico.eu/article/ukraine-…— @POLITICOEurope Jul 1, 2026
Valery Zaluzhniy (former Ukrainian commander-in-chief, current ambassador to London) was summoned back to Kyiv in mid-June, per @ukrpravda_news. Zelenskyy asked him if he would run in presidential elections if they were held in autumn. “Yes. I will,” Zaluzhniy replied.
— @Mike_Eckel Jul 1, 2026
L’ancien Premier ministre russe Mikhaïl Kasyanov estime que, face aux frappes ukrainiennes sur Moscou et Saint-Pétersbourg, la plupart des membres de l’entourage de Poutine éprouvent un sentiment de honte et souhaitent la fin de la guerre.
1/
#Russie #Ukraine— @Eric_Lecomte_ Jul 1, 2026
|
China’s covert military training of Russian forces last year was personally approved by Russian President Vladimir Putin’s defense minister and directly involved at least four Russian and Chinese generals, according to two European officials and documents seen by Reuters.
— @Jerusalem_Post Jul 1, 2026
🇺🇦🇷🇺Ukraine says it’s Ready to Sink Russia’s Shadow Fleet if Declared as Military Targets by IMO.
Ukraine formally asked the International Maritime Organization (IMO) to recognize vessels in Russia’s shadow fleet used to export oil and bypass Western sanctions as legitimate military targets.
These ships help fund Russia’s war against Ukraine according Ukrainian officials.
— @Globalsurv Jul 1, 2026
“Ukraine is winning!”
“Russia is collapsing”
“Putin is panicking!”REALITY: Russia is 10km away from breaking the fortress belt
— @EthanLevins2 Jul 1, 2026
Day 5 of the infamous 40-day operation… and according to international analysts, the clock inside Putin’s bunker is starting to tick incredibly loud. ⏱️💥
In a striking analysis for Forbes, foreign correspondent Melik Kaylan writes that Vladimir Putin is now facing “incurable problems” on every single level. Public fury is boiling over due to forced conscription, acute domestic fuel shortages, and relentless Ukrainian strikes deep inside Russian territory. The “catastrophic” war has simply become impossible to hide from the public. 📉🔥
But it’s not the regular citizens or even the army that Putin needs to fear first—it’s his own inner circle.
The analysis highlights that as things worsen, the Russian population will demand answers. Initially, they will blame the oligarchs and officials surrounding the Tsar. And that is exactly why the elite will mutiny before the army does—driven by pure, naked fear for their own survival and assets. 🐊💼
According to Kaylan, if the current collapse continues, Putin is highly likely to be overthrown within three years. The endgame will likely look like one of two options:
The Quick Route: Eliminating Putin swiftly to seize power and neutralize the threat before his loyalists can even process what happened. ⚡️
The Scapegoat Route: Keeping him alive but isolated, transforming him into the ultimate fall guy for the disastrous Ukraine war, allowing the rest of the elite to wash their hands of guilt and cut a deal with the West. 🧼🇷🇺
Three years might feel like a long time, but the smell of panic in the Kremlin corridors is getting harder to ignore.
Sources: Forbes strategic analysis by Melik Kaylan and regional Russian socio-economic monitoring, July 1, 2026.
— @jalle51 Jul 1, 2026