Russian economist: “The bill is due in days” – only 20% of gasoline production left, crisis could stop the war (source: Vyacheslav Siryayev)
Vyacheslav Siryaev puts it bluntly: Russia’s fuel crisis is now measured in days.
According to him, only about 20% of Russia’s previous gasoline production remains.
That’s not a shortage — it’s a structural breakdown. And when a war machine built entirely on diesel, gasoline, and jet fuel loses four‑fifths of its supply, the outcome is inevitable.Siryaev’s conclusion is stark:
The fuel crisis will stop the war.
Without fuel:no transport
no artillery convoys
no troop rotations
no drone operations
no air missions
no mobilization of reserves
It’s the same patttern seen in late‑Soviet collapse: the economy fails first, the military follows.
Russia is already shutting down refineries, rationing fuel, and facing kilometer‑long lines at stations. This isn’t propaganda.
It’s physics. A war cannot continue when the fuel runs out.#Russia 🇷🇺 #FuelCrisis #Economy
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— @jalle51 Aug 13, 2026
