PUTIN’S NUCLEAR THREATS ARE LOSING THEIR POWER 🇷🇺🇺🇦🇬🇧🇺🇸🇨🇳🇮🇳🇮🇷🇮🇱🇵🇰🇫🇷🇯🇵🇰🇷
Russia 🇷🇺 has again told NATO it is prepared to use its full arsenal, including nuclear weapons, to defend what it considers its territory. Vladimir Putin repeated that warning over Kaliningrad on October 1.
According to Financial Times columnist Gideon Rachman, the striking part is how little impact those threats now seem to have.
Early in the war, nuclear escalation fears shaped Western decision-making. The U.S. 🇺🇸 and its allies were more cautious about what weapons they supplied to Ukraine 🇺🇦, while China 🇨🇳 and India 🇮🇳 reportedly warned Moscow against nuclear use. Washington is also believed to have signaled that a Russian nuclear strike could trigger direct Western intervention.
Over time, however, many of the boundaries once considered too dangerous were crossed.
Tanks, fighter aircraft and long-range weapons capable of striking targets inside Russia were all once treated as unacceptable escalation risks. Ukraine has since received all three.
Then came Operation Spider’s Web in 2025, when Ukrainian drones struck Russian strategic bombers tied to the nuclear deterrent. Russian doctrine had identified attacks on such assets as potentially justifying nuclear escalation.
No nuclear response followed.
Former NATO deputy secretary-general Rose Gottemoeller summarized the problem bluntly: “Nuclear deterrence is not working.”
Russia is not alone in facing this broader challenge. Iran 🇮🇷 has fired missiles and drones at nuclear-armed Israel 🇮🇱, while India and Pakistan 🇵🇰, both nuclear powers, have exchanged strikes across their territories.
But for Moscow, the stakes may be higher. Russia’s nuclear arsenal remains one of the central pillars of its claim to great-power status, and maintaining it is enormously expensive.
Rachman argues that Moscow is therefore looking for other ways to restore deterrence, including sabotage, assassinations, drone incursions and intensified attacks on Ukrainian cities. Those tools may create fear, but they also increase the risk of miscalculation and escalation.
The bigger strategic danger is that if nuclear threats stop being believed, conventional war may begin to look less risky too.
Putin spent years using the nuclear card to make the West hesitate.
The question now is what happens when the card is played so often that nobody flinches anymore.
— @WW3finalboss Oct 8, 2026
